Heavy SPY Put Volume Detected As Trump Intensifies Trade Relations With China

Heavy SPY Put Volume
SPY 636P expiring 11/21/2025

Today’s option order flow highlighted two large put option trades on SPY, both targeting the $636 strike with an expiration date of November 21, 2025. Each trade is marked as a “Sweep”, indicating aggressive buying activity across multiple exchanges to ensure quick execution—often a sign of institutional order flow.

The first trade shows a spot price of $669.09, with 10,253 contracts purchased at $3.83 per contract. This results in a total premium of $3.9 million. The second trade follows closely with a spot of $668.33, 11,390 contracts, and a premium of $4.5 million at a price of $3.92. A the time of the trade, total option volume reached 10,293 contracts. Compared to an open interest (OI) of 15,614, this yields a V/OI ratio of approximately 0.66. This indicates unusually high activity and potential new positioning rather than closing trades.

Volume and Open Interest Data

SPY 636P expiring 11/21/2025 Volume and Open Interest Data

Historical trading data shows a major spike in trading activity for the SPY 636 put expiring November 21, 2025. On October 22nd, volume exploded to 47,509 contracts, with open interest (OI) climbing slightly to 15,614. This represents a net increase of +433 contracts from the prior trading day. An increase in OI indicates that while some contracts may have been closed or rolled, a meaningful portion represents new open positions. The V/OI ratio (~3.0) shows that daily trading volume was roughly three times greater than the total outstanding interest. This is an unusually high ratio often associated with institutional or speculative momentum.

The option price rose from $3.18 on 10/21 to $5.18 on 10/22. The increase coincided with the volume surge and a small uptick in implied volatility (IV) from 19.68% to 21.09%. The combination of rising volume, increasing price, and higher IV suggests traders were actively buying these puts, driving premiums upward. Overall, the data reflects significant accumulation of near-dated exposure on SPY, likely anticipating increased volatility into late 2025.

Trade Side Distribution

SPY 636P expiring 11/21/2025 Trade Side Distribution

The trade side distribution chart for the SPY 636 put expiring November 21, 2025 reveals a clear dominance of “Above Ask” transactions, signaling aggressive buy-side activity. Approximately 67% of total volume ($8.4 million) occurred above the ask. This is a strong indication that traders were willing to pay a premium to secure positions quickly. In contrast, 24% ($3 million) of trades were executed on the bid, and small portions were recorded below ($413.8K, 3%), at the ask ($564K, 4%), or mid-market ($201K, 2%).

This distribution underscores a significant imbalance toward buyer aggression, with most traders chasing entry rather than waiting for better fills. When combined with prior volume spikes and rising option prices, the data suggests that large players are accumulating SPY puts. The intensity of buying above the ask reflects strong conviction in potential market weakness leading into late 2025.

More Notable Options Trades Observed

SPY 634P expiring 11/21/2025

Another significant SPY option sweep showed up today. This one was a $634 strike put expiring November 21, 2025. The trade included a single large buy order of 8,000 contracts executed above the ask at a spot price of $666.55. Priced at $4.09 per contract, this trade carried a total premium of $3.3 million, marking another instance of aggressive positioning for near-dated SPY puts. The trade was classified as a “Sweep,” indicating that the buyer split orders across multiple exchanges to secure rapid execution. This tactic is often used by institutional traders expecting a directional move.

With volume at 8,148 contracts and open interest at 12,313, the V/OI ratio sits around 0.66. This adds to the growing pattern of heavy put accumulation targeting the same expiration window, reinforcing similar stance among large investors anticipating potential market volatility heading into late 2025.

What’s Happening with SPY

Today, the SPY ETF experienced a notable decline in price performance, down from the previous day’s close of $671.29. This drop followed President Trump’s escalation of trade tensions with China, which led to increased investor anxiety and a pivot away from risk assets. Specifically, Trump announced that the US is considering curbs on software-related exports to China. This fresh development adds another layer of uncertainty to trade negotiations between the countries.

The trade standoff, including threats of significant tariff hikes, triggered a sell-off. Analysts continue to warn of elevated volatility in the market as defensive sectors and volatility-linked ETFs attracted more capital. Overall, the SPY reflected broader market unease resulting from President Trump’s aggressive trade policy actions.

About SPY

The S&P 500 Index represents the 500 largest publicly traded companies in the U.S. across various sectors. The index offers investors broad exposure to the U.S. equity market. This makes it a popular tool for both long-term investment strategies and short-term trading. Known for its high liquidity, tight bid-ask spreads, and deep options market, the S&P500 serves as a key instrument for hedging, speculation, and benchmarking overall market sentiment.

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Disclaimer: Options trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You may lose the entire investment, and certain strategies may result in losses exceeding the initial amount invested. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always consult a financial or tax advisor before making investment decisions.

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